Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3041
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 3041 · JAN → ATL
departs 5:30 AM CT · arrives 7:58 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 7%
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 3%
Tue 10/6 3%
Wed 10/7 3%
Thu 10/8 2%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
5.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave JAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at JAN that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from JAN are usually not late
Weather at each end
JAN (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.14 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.