Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3045
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 3045 · ECP → ATL
departs 11:38 AM CT · arrives 1:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 11%
Thu 10/8 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at ECP that day
↑
Other factors
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
11am departures from ECP are usually not late
Weather at each end
ECP (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 2.05 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.80 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.