Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3053
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 3053 · ATL → ECP
departs 5:45 PM ET · arrives 5:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 9%
Thu 10/8 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±9 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at ECP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ECP?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.1 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.9 in of rain forecast at ECP that day
↑
5pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
ECP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 2.09 in
ECP (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.95 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.