DL 3084 · ATL → JAN

departs 8:17 PM ET · arrives 8:40 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at JAN more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JAN?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ 8pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ JAN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.29 in

JAN (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3084 · ATL → JAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to JAN?