DL 3086 · ATL → PNS

departs 9:34 PM ET · arrives 9:47 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PNS?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 2.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PNS that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ 9pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.27 in

PNS (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip2.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3086 · ATL → PNS

Odds over time

How late will it get to PNS?