DL 3146 · MSY → ATL

departs 5:01 PM CT · arrives 7:32 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MSY that day

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.83 in

ATL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.54 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3146 · MSY → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?