DL 3151 · ATL → JAN

departs 11:50 AM ET · arrives 12:05 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at JAN more than 15 minutes late?

66% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to JAN?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at JAN that day

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ JAN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.33 in

JAN (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3151 · ATL → JAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to JAN?