DL 3176 · ATL → MOB

departs 11:04 AM ET · arrives 11:25 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at MOB more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MOB?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 2.8 in of rain forecast at MOB that day

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Arrivals into MOB at that hour are usually not late

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.17 in

MOB (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip2.81 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3176 · ATL → MOB

Odds over time

How late will it get to MOB?