DL 418 · AVL → LGA

departs 12:07 PM ET · arrives 2:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ LGA is busy at that time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.04 in

LGA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 418 · AVL → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?