DL 47 · AMS → JFK

took off 10:28 AM CEST · expected to land 12:22 PM ET (scheduled 10:12 AM CEST → 1:09 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to JFK?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at AMS

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

AMS (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

JFK (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 47 · AMS → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?