DL 587 · MEX → ATL

departs 1:22 PM CST · arrives 6:40 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEX

↓ Other factors

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MEX (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

ATL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.33 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 587 · MEX → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?