DL 616 · BDA → JFK

took off 12:56 PM ADT · expected to land 1:41 PM ET (scheduled 1:06 PM ADT → 2:26 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to JFK?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at JFK that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at BDA

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BDA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

JFK (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 616 · BDA → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?