DL 618 · CUN → DTW

departs 12:47 PM EST · arrives 5:45 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts +21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at CUN

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Other factors

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CUN (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

DTW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 618 · CUN → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?