DL 648 · AUS → MCO

departs 3:20 PM CT · arrives 7:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

43% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from AUS are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 648 · AUS → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?