DL 700 · DTW → SAN

departs 8:23 PM ET · arrives 10:01 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±5 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 8pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 700 · DTW → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?