DL 720 · CVG → ATL

took off 3:28 PM ET · expected to land 4:38 PM ET (scheduled 3:00 PM ET → 4:42 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATL?

LIVE

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from CVG are often late

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 720 · CVG → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?