DL 733 · ATL → MEM

departs 1:48 PM ET · arrives 2:15 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ 1pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.34 in

MEM (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 733 · ATL → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?