DL 834 · ATL → LAS

departs 9:19 PM ET · arrives 10:41 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±0 pts +28 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
35%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.03 in

LAS (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 834 · ATL → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?