DL 872 · MSY → LAX

departs 2:48 PM CT · arrives 4:52 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MSY that day

↑ 2pm departures from MSY are often late

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.78 in

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 872 · MSY → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?