DL 8888 · MKE → SAN

departs 8:02 PM CT · arrives 10:20 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 8pm departures from MKE are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MKE

Weather at each end

MKE (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

SAN (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8888 · MKE → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?