DL 8960 · IAH → ANC

took off 12:24 PM CT · expected to land 3:59 PM AKT (scheduled 11:32 AM CT → 3:53 PM AKT)

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ANC?

LIVE

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
32%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from IAH are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ANC

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into ANC at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

ANC (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling3,133 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8960 · IAH → ANC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ANC?