DL 896 · ATL → SAN

departs 9:28 PM ET · arrives 10:57 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±7 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ 9pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.79 in

SAN (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 896 · ATL → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?