Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1003
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
F9 1003 · PHL → ATL
departs 4:30 PM ET · arrives 7:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
5.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
32%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.08 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.51 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.