F9 1326 · SAN → LAS

departs 8:51 PM PT · arrives 10:21 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±13 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↑ 8pm departures from SAN are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1326 · SAN → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?