F9 1477 · FLL → CVG

took off 8:06 AM ET · expected to land 10:13 AM ET (scheduled 7:57 AM ET → 10:47 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CVG?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from FLL are usually not late

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

CVG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1477 · FLL → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?