F9 1489 · IAH → LAS

took off 5:16 AM CT · expected to land 6:01 AM PT (scheduled 5:14 AM CT → 6:37 AM PT)

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from IAH are usually not late

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.08 in

LAS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1489 · IAH → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?