Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1713
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
F9 1713 · MCO → CVG
departs 9:24 PM ET · arrives 11:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 48%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±4 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.