F9 1927 · OKC → DEN

departs 8:21 PM CT · arrives 9:11 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 1,200 ft forecast at OKC that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

OKC (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1927 · OKC → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?