Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2472
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
F9 2472 · DFW → EWR
departs 7:50 AM CT · arrives 12:31 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 15%
Thu 10/8 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.08 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.