Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2564
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
F9 2564 · LAX → DFW
departs 6:25 PM PT · arrives 11:42 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Sun 10/4
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 17%
Thu 10/8 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from LAX are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 800 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.