F9 2999 · MDW → DFW

departs 12:45 PM CT · arrives 3:18 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at DFW that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 2999 · MDW → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?