F9 3325 · DFW → SNA

departs 8:34 AM CT · arrives 9:50 AM PT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±1 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SNA?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at DFW that day

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.06 in

SNA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 3325 · DFW → SNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SNA?