Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4117
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
F9 4117 · CLE → MYR
departs 1:02 PM ET · arrives 2:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at MYR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MYR?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at MYR that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE
↓
MYR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CLE (origin)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
MYR (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.72 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.