Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4118
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
F9 4118 · MYR → CLE
departs 3:32 PM ET · arrives 5:21 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MYR that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
MYR usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE
Weather at each end
MYR (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.85 in
CLE (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.