Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4655
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
F9 4655 · DFW → PHX
departs 10:23 PM CT · arrives 10:59 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/7 13%
Fri 10/9 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.1d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Gusts to 33 kt forecast at PHX that day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.23 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.