Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4775
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
F9 4775 · LIT → DEN
departs 7:46 PM CT · arrives 9:12 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±1 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at DEN that day
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LIT (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.04 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 7,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.