F9 4793 · FAR → DEN

took off 7:49 PM CT · landed 8:14 PM MT (scheduled 7:42 PM CT → 8:47 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ FAR usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FAR

Weather at each end

FAR (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 4793 · FAR → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?