Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4946
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
F9 4946 · LAX → DEN
departs 8:49 PM PT · arrives 12:29 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 25%
Fri 10/9 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
43%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
43%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.1d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 7,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.