G4 1005 · PIE → ROA

departs 11:33 AM ET · arrives 1:39 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at ROA more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ROA?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at ROA that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PIE (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

ROA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.63 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1005 · PIE → ROA

Odds over time

How late will it get to ROA?