G4 1010 · TTN → PIE

departs 12:14 PM ET · arrives 3:06 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PIE?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at TTN that day

↓ 12pm departures from TTN are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE

Weather at each end

TTN (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

PIE (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1010 · TTN → PIE

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIE?