G4 1021 · IAG → PIE

departs 12:22 PM ET · arrives 3:19 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PIE?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAG

↓ IAG is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

IAG (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIE (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1021 · IAG → PIE

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIE?