Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1046
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 1046 · PIE → LCK
departs 6:09 PM ET · arrives 8:22 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/8 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at LCK more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
−14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LCK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at LCK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LCK?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LCK
↓
LCK usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
LCK (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.