G4 1047 · LCK → PIE

departs 2:20 PM ET · arrives 4:51 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIE?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LCK

↓ LCK is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

LCK (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIE (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1047 · LCK → PIE

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIE?