Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1071 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

G4 1071 · PIE → HSV

departs 2:23 PM ET · arrives 3:06 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HSV?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at HSV that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE

↑ 2pm departures from PIE are often late

↓ HSV usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PIE (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

HSV (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.95 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1071 · PIE → HSV

Odds over time

How late will it get to HSV?