G4 1140 · JAX → PIT

took off 10:24 AM ET · landed 11:56 AM ET (scheduled 10:19 AM ET → 12:29 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PIT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at JAX that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ 10am departures from JAX are usually not late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

JAX (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.30 in

PIT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1140 · JAX → PIT

Odds over time

How late did it get to PIT?