Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1161
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 1161 · SDF → SAV
departs 4:52 PM ET · arrives 6:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave SDF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at SAV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAV?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at SAV that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SDF
↓
SAV usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SDF (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SAV (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.93 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.