G4 116 · BZN → LAS

took off 1:02 PM MT · landed 1:42 PM PT (scheduled 12:01 PM MT → 1:11 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±3 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ BZN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BZN (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

LAS (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 116 · BZN → LAS

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAS?