Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1195
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 1195 · BMI → SFB
departs 7:59 PM CT · arrives 11:22 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.0d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave BMI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↓
BMI usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BMI
Weather at each end
BMI (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.