Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1198
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 1198 · FWA → SFB
departs 9:51 AM ET · arrives 12:09 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave FWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FWA
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
FWA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.