Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1208 LANDED 2:04 PM ET, ON TIME · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

G4 1208 · SFB → EYW

took off 1:04 PM ET · landed 2:04 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±1 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day

↑ Other factors

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EYW

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SFB (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.24 in

EYW (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1208 · SFB → EYW

Odds over time